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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Forex Trading and The London Open

By Michael Jones

A thorough Forex trading education must include an understanding of the effect market timings can have on trading and liquidity.

Good trading opportunities often arise at the time the London market opens as this can be one of the busiest trading times of the day.

Around London open time develop recognition skills and add them to your Forex trading education so you can capitalize on this productive market session.

The following questionnaire and checklist will help.

London Open Preparation

About 15 to 30 minutes before London open check the answers to these questions:

Are the MACD indicators on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts in agreement? If they are not going in the same direction be very careful!

Is there MACD divergence on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart? Look for other clues to confirm that price may go in the direction of MACD divergence.

What is the overall trend on the 4 hour chart?

Using the last swing high and swing low, use your Fibonacci tool and note the retracement and extension levels and see if price is approaching any of them.

Look to see where price is in relation to the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4 hour, 1 hour and 15 minute charts. If price is above the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart but below it on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts, then price is bucking the trend and you can expect it to go the other way at some point. (The opposite will be true if price is below the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart but above it on the higher time frames.)

Are any fundamental announcements due?

As the candle closes on the 15 minute chart at London open, do you see any distinctive candle patterns such as tweezers, or doji's or hammers indicating price exhaustion?

If I entered a trade right now in a particular direction, what would be the risk and where would I place my stop?

Within a few minutes of London open, if you see a number of factors converging from the analysis above, make a decision one way or the other:

trade

wait for clearer signals or a better entry point

Carrying out an analysis in this way each day at London open will do much to increase your Forex trading education.

It will make you aware of what is happening on the charts and in the marketplace and help you to arrive at conclusions.

Forex trading education does not depend on a magical formula. What it does entail is years of work, study, practice and experience, often hard earned through watching many trades go bad.

Eventually the newer trader learns mental discipline, and how to control the emotions - probably the biggest part of a Forex trading education.

A procedure like the one outlined above, practiced day in and day out, will help the newer trader make good progress. It won't be too long before the trader experiences the satisfaction of consistent profits on a regular basis. - 23217

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