The Treasury Bond Market Clarified
Serious attention is being paid the the U.S. Treasury bond market in recent trading. When T-bonds show action, the dollar does also. If there is a decline in long-term Treasury bond prices, the dollar also plummets. According to the March 2009 report of the Fed's Flow of Funds, there was $14.5 trillion outstanding in agency securities, mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities.
Foreign countries are heavily invested in U.S. debt as an investment with China being the first holder of U.S. bonds. More than a few economists believe that if China stops buying them, the U.S. economy would face ever increasing interest rates to make U.S. debt more attractive.
With the current out-of-control spending and huge deficit in government, U.S. Treasury securities' real value is the focus of more and more attention. China wants to make sure that their assets are safe, and if there is any question that U.S. credibility is in doubt, the option to liquidate some of their U.S. assets is more likely an option.
If China and other nations refuse to buy U.S. debt, the only alternative is for the U.S. Treasury to purchase Treasury securities which would dramatically increase the money supply. To attract investors, interest rates would need to rise. As is the case, when the Fed starts buying Treasury bills habitually, inflation ensues. The Fed in the mid-2009 scenario has used much of the money to buy over $500 billion in mortgage backed securities.
In a normal economic environment, higher interest rates would be associated with the central bank as they try to cool off inflationary pressures associated with an expanding money supply. However, with less demand for Treasuries, higher interest rates to attract buyer demand is the only viable recourse. Yet higher interest would only push an already declining economy, deeper in the hole. Higher interest rates mean a greater burden on the populace resulting in more mortgage defaults and negative pressure on consumer debt.
The current administration's record-breaking plans to fund the deficit and the Fed printing out dollar bills to buy the debt is staggering. The U.S. Treasury is pushing the yield on bonds even higher and the floodgates are open. Some economists are wondering who is going to be purchasing these bonds.
A nation can be destroyed by inflationary deficit spending. Milton Friedman, the famous late economist, gave a warning about inflation being a ''dangerous and sometimes fatal disease''. He believe that it could destroy a society if not checked in time.
China is the top holder of U.S. debt. Famous economist, Milton Friedman, said that the fate of a nation was ''inseparable from the fate of its currency''. Soaring rates of interest and inflation put an already fragile economy on the alert. Thus, the bond yields are higher as the government's deficit shows no sign of slowing. - 23217
Foreign countries are heavily invested in U.S. debt as an investment with China being the first holder of U.S. bonds. More than a few economists believe that if China stops buying them, the U.S. economy would face ever increasing interest rates to make U.S. debt more attractive.
With the current out-of-control spending and huge deficit in government, U.S. Treasury securities' real value is the focus of more and more attention. China wants to make sure that their assets are safe, and if there is any question that U.S. credibility is in doubt, the option to liquidate some of their U.S. assets is more likely an option.
If China and other nations refuse to buy U.S. debt, the only alternative is for the U.S. Treasury to purchase Treasury securities which would dramatically increase the money supply. To attract investors, interest rates would need to rise. As is the case, when the Fed starts buying Treasury bills habitually, inflation ensues. The Fed in the mid-2009 scenario has used much of the money to buy over $500 billion in mortgage backed securities.
In a normal economic environment, higher interest rates would be associated with the central bank as they try to cool off inflationary pressures associated with an expanding money supply. However, with less demand for Treasuries, higher interest rates to attract buyer demand is the only viable recourse. Yet higher interest would only push an already declining economy, deeper in the hole. Higher interest rates mean a greater burden on the populace resulting in more mortgage defaults and negative pressure on consumer debt.
The current administration's record-breaking plans to fund the deficit and the Fed printing out dollar bills to buy the debt is staggering. The U.S. Treasury is pushing the yield on bonds even higher and the floodgates are open. Some economists are wondering who is going to be purchasing these bonds.
A nation can be destroyed by inflationary deficit spending. Milton Friedman, the famous late economist, gave a warning about inflation being a ''dangerous and sometimes fatal disease''. He believe that it could destroy a society if not checked in time.
China is the top holder of U.S. debt. Famous economist, Milton Friedman, said that the fate of a nation was ''inseparable from the fate of its currency''. Soaring rates of interest and inflation put an already fragile economy on the alert. Thus, the bond yields are higher as the government's deficit shows no sign of slowing. - 23217
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