Why Is Gold So High Right Now?
What are the reasons behind the high gold costs we are witnessing? Why do certain assets rise to astonishing highs when the basics remain low? In the past twelve months gold has risen to $1,007 per ounce, which is its highest point between March, 2008 and now. Gold has seen a 12% increase in the intervening months.
What are the reasons for this? You might be tempted to think its because of the basics, but its not. The World Gold Council published a report that states craving for gold accessories has declined by 22% and industrial uses for gold has declined by 21% since 2008. The only component that has remained high in the current gold arena is speculation, which has grown by 46%.
Another reason is that gold is often considered to be a good hedge against inflation leading many to be attracted to this precious metal. But according to statistics listed by the Labor Department, the consumer price index for gold fell 2.1% in a single year. That is the opposite of inflation. So what exactly is being hedged against?
Because the Federal balance sheet is getting larger, the currency it is based on is losing it's value. Deflation will only cause our currency to further lose it's value, and inflation is not a pleasant option; it appears that either way things go, gold will benefit.
Another factor in support of gold is how low the current US interest rates are. The method by which banks charge other banks for loans, known as the London interbank dollar rate, has fallen 4.8% since October of last year to an unprecedented 0.314%. Because you do not earn interest by having gold, you have something known as an opportunity cost which you do not have with any other form of investment, such as bonds. However, given the current value of the dollar, the opportunity cost of having gold as opposed to bonds is insignificant.
What this means is that the fundamentals have absolutely nothing to do with the high price of gold; it is dependent solely upon financial speculation. This means that there is absolutely no way to know what is going to happen to the price of gold in the future. - 23217
What are the reasons for this? You might be tempted to think its because of the basics, but its not. The World Gold Council published a report that states craving for gold accessories has declined by 22% and industrial uses for gold has declined by 21% since 2008. The only component that has remained high in the current gold arena is speculation, which has grown by 46%.
Another reason is that gold is often considered to be a good hedge against inflation leading many to be attracted to this precious metal. But according to statistics listed by the Labor Department, the consumer price index for gold fell 2.1% in a single year. That is the opposite of inflation. So what exactly is being hedged against?
Because the Federal balance sheet is getting larger, the currency it is based on is losing it's value. Deflation will only cause our currency to further lose it's value, and inflation is not a pleasant option; it appears that either way things go, gold will benefit.
Another factor in support of gold is how low the current US interest rates are. The method by which banks charge other banks for loans, known as the London interbank dollar rate, has fallen 4.8% since October of last year to an unprecedented 0.314%. Because you do not earn interest by having gold, you have something known as an opportunity cost which you do not have with any other form of investment, such as bonds. However, given the current value of the dollar, the opportunity cost of having gold as opposed to bonds is insignificant.
What this means is that the fundamentals have absolutely nothing to do with the high price of gold; it is dependent solely upon financial speculation. This means that there is absolutely no way to know what is going to happen to the price of gold in the future. - 23217
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posted by X - Men @ 7:33 AM
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