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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Forex Trading Education For The London Open

By Michael Jones

Part of your Forex trading education should include a study of the effect market timings can have on trading and volume.

Good trading opportunities often arise at the time the London market opens as this can be one of the busiest trading times of the day.

As part of your Forex trading education, learn to analyze market conditions around London open and begin to recognize good setups.

The following questionnaire and checklist will help.

London Open Preparation

Check these points about fifteen minutes to half an hour before the London market opens:

Are the MACD indicators on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts in agreement? If they are not going in the same direction be very careful!

If there is divergence on the 4 hour, 1 hour or 15 minute charts on the MACD indicator, look for other signs that price may go in the direction of the divergence.

Looking at the four hour chart, ask yourself, what is the overall trend?

Do a Fibonacci calculation on the last swing high and low and see if price is pulling back to an optimum retracement level or whether it is reaching a key extension level.

Using the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on three time frames, the 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute, see if price is bucking the trend. In other words, if it is above the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart but well below it on the 1 hour and 4 hour, there is a high possibility price will fall in the near future. The opposite of course is true if the position is revered, ie. price is below the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart but above it on the 1 and 4 hour charts.

Are any fundamental announcements due?

Taking note of the candle that closes the first 15 minutes after London open, is it part of a distinctive candle pattern or is the candle itself a hammer, doji, or other shape which indicates price may be about to go in the other direction?

If I entered a trade right now in a particular direction, what would be the risk and where would I place my stop?

Within a few minutes of London open, if you see a number of factors converging from the analysis above, make a decision one way or the other:

trade

wait for clearer signals or a better entry point

Carrying out an analysis in this way each day at London open will do much to increase your Forex trading education.

It will make you aware of what is happening on the charts and in the marketplace and help you to arrive at conclusions.

Forex trading education does not depend on a magical formula. What it does entail is years of work, study, practice and experience, often hard earned through watching many trades go bad.

Eventually the newer trader learns mental discipline, and how to control the emotions - probably the biggest part of a Forex trading education.

Practice a procedure like the one above day after day and begin to see some progress as you get nearer the time you make profits consistently from currency trading. - 23217

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