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Saturday, June 20, 2009

It Is Not Too Late To Profit From High Volatility

By Chris Blanchet

For investors who survived the past two years, it will not be much of a surprise to learn that market volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange, has risen from a modest 16 to a little over 79, the highest level ever reached.

In fact, after the attacks of September 11, 2001, volatility jumped to just 33. They closed the markets as a result of the uncertainty! Today, the markets feel subdued, yet are registering volatility in the range of 30. This presents plenty of opportunity for investors to profit.

The first thing investors need to do when it comes to taking a run at profit is to distance themselves emotionally from their investments. Trading software that provides signals on when to buy and sell can help in this regard, but this is something most individual investors are unable to accomplish. Think about it: we all work hard for our money and we hate to see it wasted. This is a benefit that money managers have -- they haven't worked hard for the money you invest, so if they lose, they lose your money, not theirs.

The next thing the investor needs is an understanding of volatility. Although Yahoo! Finance provides a neat graphical image (enter "^VIX" in the quote box), it does not give a definition to the term. Simply put, volatility is rate of change in the deviation from the mean. This means that the higher volatility, the more rapidly a price will wander from its mean price.

The final thing the investor should do is control his or her greed. Again, this is difficult to achieve as short-term returns suggest longer-term returns. Again, removing the emotion of greed can be achieved by using trading software that measures concrete factors like volatility, moving averages, momentum, etc..

In summary, by eliminating emotion and relying on technical trends investors can use volatility advantageously. Such volatility can allow for strong gains and returns when used properly. A trading system can assist to a large degree, but is not at all required for investors who can control their emotions and greed. - 23217

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