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Friday, November 20, 2009

Investing Like You Actually Know What You Are Doing

By Samatha Ferguson

Investing and money is a major subject on most people minds. Adding to the fact there is no shortage of people out there trying to make money showing you the secrets to investing and how to get rich investing for a price. Normally the only one who really gets rich from these programs are those selling them.

Looking at the basics of investing we find that there are no set rules. Dont confuse that with the set of rules that must be followed when purchasing stock, bonds, buying a house and such. Those are just the details of making it happen. Investing doesnt have any real set of rules, you cant just write down a set of rules for investing and people get rich. We all wished it worked that way.

Investing is actually an art form. Like most art forms it takes knowledge, experience, practice, and lots of hard work. Like art it also takes commitment. Investing is a lifelong practice and commitment with small goals along the way.

Whatever area you decide to invest in; stocks, bonds, real estate, and such there is one thing that is always consistent and will directly affect your money. Regardless what you invest in, people and society will always dictate how any investment will do. Why didnt I say data or the investment itself? People and society have a very profound and direct affect on any investment. For example, if you decide to invest in stock, how the company is doing is what determines if you make or lose money. What affects the company more than anything? People run the company; those people will either make or break the company and your investment.

Should I mention Enron? The company broke because of greedy people running the company. Investors lost a lot of money due to people. What about Krispy Kreme? Societys obsession with weight, health, and healthy food almost destroyed the company just because of one report on how unhealthy the doughnuts are to consume. Making matters worse, people at the top almost finished the company because they got involved in fuzzy business practices.

People and society can and always will affect your investments. However, dont look at just the negative side. They can also affect them in a very positive way as well. Just look at how many businesses got started. They started with an idea someone had and they grew it into an investment opportunity that it still making some investors kick themselves for not having enough forward insight to invest early.

While looking at the data and details of an investment, also take a look at the people factor. Ask yourself, Would society like this idea or product? Society and people are slow to change, so remember that when you are thinking of an investment which involves a drastic change in the behavior of society. So investing in a drive thru funeral home isnt probably a good idea even though our society loves fast and convenient services and products. Dont laugh; someone already tried it.

So before you throw your money into an investment, look at the people factor. Are the people running the investment worthy of your money? Would society accept such a new idea or product? These and many more questions you should ask yourself before throwing money into an investment. - 23217

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Forex Trading Software Is Right Way To Profit

By John Adams

The foreign exchange trading market is populated and flooded with lots and numerous forex trading programs that are all accessible to every trader that will take notice and will be interested. And due to their lots of existences in the market, you can expect that it would be complicated to separate one from the other, permit alone distinguish which one has the feature that you like absolute or which one has the feature that you consider you can bear living without. needless to say, it is also to be expected that a couple or two or more of these forex software have an identical features. Well, i believe that it is secure to tell that there might be a few forex robots which have more than what any other forex robot offer. Then that leaves another loose end. How do you know if a definite forex robot truly has this singular and unique feature that it brags?

IvyBot has a couple of very specific and markedly unique qualities that it boasts of. And i'm by no means the only, nor the first one to remark it. You can search up review articles about IvyBot on the net and understand what the other market trading experts have to mention with regards to this forex software. Trading on the stock market, you are faced with trading in the shares of hundreds of different companies, each with its own sets of uncertainties. To really come to an intelligent choice on whether to pay for or sell the shares of a definite company, you have to study their financial statements. But that will not mention the whole story. to illustrate it won't clarify you about the new invention by their rivals that will wipe them off the market absolutely...

With forex it's different - at least theoretically. The information about circumstances influencing the price movements of a definite currency is promptly available to everyone, specifically for the drastic currencies. So all you have to do is study that information and make cash, right? In reality there are hundreds of different currencies. Price movements in one currency will markedly often result in similar price movements in another currency. To study all the circumstances involved will still take tons of time and need that you have access to complicated charting and data research software. If you are a part-time trader this is not continually practical.

This is where automated trading software comes in. This type of software will automatically analyze the various technical indicators, like moving averages, and then come forward with a trading signal - advising you to either buy or sell a particular currency. They are not all equal though. The expensive ones will also produce a set of charts and the results of the technical analysis to explain to you how it arrived at the recommendation. This way you will get valuable insight into the way decisions should be taken based on technical data. The cheaper software packages will simply produce a recommendation based on the same results without the in-depth analysis. The recommendation might be the same as that of more expensive software, but you will not get the same insight into how it arrived at its decision.

Investors and traders who base their trading decisions on fundamental analysis will not doubt tell you that the basic principle underlying these trading recommendations is flawed: trading decisions should be made based on 'fundamental' or 'real' factors, such as inflation, interest rates and the trade balance. Many will no doubt point out the effect sudden political instability can have on the value of a currency.

Traders who firmly believe in technical research will in turn argue that all fundamental circumstances will in any case have to show itself in terms of a movement in a few or other technical indicator. Whether it's the price breaking by means of the moving average, trading volumes changing by surprise or something else - there will be an adjustement in a technical indicator. And the forex trading system will choose up this signal sent by the technical indicator and come forward with a trading signal. in any case your measure as to whether you choose to do manual trading or make utilization of one of these software kits will be determined by time constraints and whether you are a supporter of fundamental research or technical research.

For starters, the IvyBot Forex Trading Software is designed and invented by a group of students who all go to different Ivy League Universities; one can actually say that this forer robot has high quality and proficiency born with it and passed on to it by its makers. This robot is also backed up and credited by eight years worth of tests and experimentations. And not only that, those tests and experiments that were done on it all showed positive and promising results. Any other robots allow you to trade using one currency and one trade at a time. But with IvyBot, you can trade using four different sets of currencies and you can perform multiple trades at the same time. - 23217

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Gold Is A Hedge Against Inflation

By Garrett Strong

Do not wait for a pullback to buy gold! Every investor needs to know that gold is a hedge against inflation. The movements in the gold market have been monumental, and there are several reasons for that.

For one, the official inflation rate is about 10%, and investors are getting out of dollars and into gold coins, gold bars, and gold bullion as a hedge against inflation. Buy gold bullion, gold ingots, and gold bullion coins to protect yourself during inflation.

The gold demand is rising steadily with no end in sight. Investors looking to put their money into hard assets increased the demand for gold in 2008 by 64 percent. Countries who have added to their gold piles include Russia, India, China, and others. The IMF recently made a sale of 200 tons of gold to India.

There is currently about 23 grams of gold available per person on earth. Thats about $840 worth of gold per person. The existing value of all the available mined gold on earth is $3.7 trillion.

The amount of gold above ground is--0,000 tons and that number goes up by 2,600 tons every year. With this 2% increase each year, it doesnt scratch the surface of demand placed on the yellow metal.

Mine supplies have actually decreased by 10% due to suppressed gold prices. Since the fundamentals for the gold price put the price much higher than it has been, why has the price been suppressed?

The gold and silver mine supplies have plummeted by 10% due to the low prices. If you add up all of the fundamentals, gold should be much, much higher.

Any situation where demand exceeds supply means the price must go higher, but until recently it has not. The gold price has risen from $250/oz in 2001 to $1,140/oz today, but the inflation adjusted price shows that gold needs to be around $6800.

This price manipulation by our government has occurred to keep the dollar falsely propped up. Central banks have played a part by selling gold bars onto the market and sending the price of gold lower. These tactics are coming to an end because central banks are running out of gold.

Another factor that has suppressed the gold price is the advent of paper gold (i.e. exchange traded funds, futures contracts). These investment vehicles simply give you the price exposure to gold. The futures contracts on the COMEX will allow you to take physical delivery of your gold, but many investors are finding that the COMEX is defaulting on the delivery. The default is occurring because the COMEX does not have the gold that they claim they have.

ETF shares or COMEX contracts will only leave you wondering if the gold is really there. These investment vehicles are the governments way of keeping investors in dollars therefore strengthening dollars.

This paper gold market is a bubble waiting to burst. Steer clear of these investments if you can help it. Keep your money safe by buying American Gold Eagle Coins, American Gold Coins, and gold bars.

The falling dollar is enough reason to invest in gold. The current price of gold is $1,140/oz, and the price of gold per ounce one month ago was $1,058/oz. Gold is the only safe bet in this inflationary environment. You wont be sorry if you invest in gold now! - 23217

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What To Know About ETF Trading

By Patrick Deaton

An exchange traded fund -- which is what an ETF is -- can be a great investment vehicle for those who are looking for solid rates of return on investment and who have the time to delve a little into the intricacies of ETF trading. Basically, ETFs are what are called "index funds" because they track one of the major market indexes out there, such as the S&P 500.

ETFs can also be trusts. At any rate, they are set up much like a mutual fund is, and they have a solid basket of market securities contained within. They are listed on the stock exchanges and are traded all throughout the trading day, which is sometimes known as intraday trading. Looking at trading activities in an ETF on the trading day basis is a good way to go about making money from one.

At present, there are more than 100 exchange traded funds operating on the American Stock Exchange. Most represent a variety of market sectors and indexes. ETFs are also carrying securities or bonds from many different industries, stock index funds, individual markets and international regions. They also are big players in Treasury and corporate bond indexes.

Those investors who are thinking of participating in ETFs should know that investors will be buying and selling shares based on the collective performance of a particular portfolio which is treated as a single security. The benefits to such trading activity are numerous, including that this combines stock investment liquidity with the stability of investing in index funds.

There are a great many advantages to the investor, whether large institutional kinds or the small investor who will be getting into an ETF through a trading system. Generally speaking, an exchange traded fund has much lower annual expenses -- referred to as costs -- than many other investment vehicles. Because they are not index-based, their management fees are usually very reasonable.

The reason this is so is because most ETFs aren't actively managed throughout the trading day. They moved on much broader scales than what day traders engage in out in the markets. Another way of saying this is that there is not a great deal of movement in the fun that requires management to get involved in. Most studies point out that there's really no difference between actively managed funds and these.

Exchange traded funds are set up deliberately to operate this way because they've tied their net asset values -- which are determined during the trading day -- to the assets underlying the fund. This gives a very good transparency to any exchange traded fund, because the fund itself is designed to replicate the holdings that are contained in the index that it is tracking and is tied to.

Most small investors usually trade throughout the day through pricing and trading of security portfolios. ETF trading makes this possible because there aren't any restrictions placed on trading activity, such as restricting trades to once a day, at the end of the day. Many small investors using a trading system, though, do this. Additionally, ETF pricing is also available throughout the day, making it particularly attractive. - 23217

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Trading Systems (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

It is very difficult to develop a trading system that can adjust to different market conditions. In simple terms, it is very difficult to adjust a mechanical trading system to a different market conditions if you are not the author of that system.

So how do you cater for this fact that markets keep on changing all the time. By developing a trading system that uses different trading strategy under different market conditions. For that, you will need to develop a diversified trading system consisting of a set of trading systems that can be used as a basis for a specific trade tactics at any given moment.

Such a diversified trading system can be used according to a trader's free choice and considering the individual situation. Trading systems based on these principles can be complex and adjustable.

Optimizing a trading system to different market conditions is very important. This optimization can provide an effective evaluation of market shifts and trends at any given time. Such a diversified trading system can be optimized for current market condition and the trader's resources at any given moment.

The only thing necessary is to find the tools for the probability evaluation for the trading system with maximum accuracy and minimum time. The optimal solution could be a diversified trading system based on the natural market features and regularities. A trading system needs to be evaluated by calculating its win ratio over let's say at least 100 trades.

Mechanical trading is good in the sense that it helps you avoid emotions in making your trading decisions. Emotions are your biggest enemy in trading. Fear and greed will always force you to make wrong trading decisions. Developing a mechanical trading system with a set of trading rules that you can apply rigorously in making your trading decisions in any market condition should be your goal. Have you ever heard about the turtle trading experiment?

If you have a good trading system, you can become a highly successful trader. Turtle trading experiment was conducted to demonstrate the fact that it's not the trader that matters; it's the trading system that matters.

As a young person, you must have learned that just by observing good players play their games you could improve your level of playing tennis, golf, badminton, swimming or for that matter any type of game. What you need to do is learn from successful traders and try to copy their trading systems.

The same principle applies in trading. You need to take a look at these 25 forex trading systems that had emerged on the top of more than 5000 traders who had taken part in a recent forex trading championship. The best forex trading system had an ROI of almost 3000% in one month. By observing the trading systems of successful traders you can also develop your own highly successful trading system. - 23217

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